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The Most Important Thing Today (11/22/23)
Let's talk about inflation! Annual Inflation Hits Fed Target in New England, Still Above 4% in the South Inflation...
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- In the week ending November 18, initial unemployment claims dropped by 24,000 to 209,000, marking the largest decline since June, according to data from the Department of Labor.
- The decline in initial claims is a result of atypical worker retention leading up to Thanksgiving, indicating that employers are holding onto employees in a labor market that is gradually cooling.
- Continuing claims decreased to 1.84 million in the week ending November 11, the first decline since early September.
- However, on an unadjusted basis, initial claims reached the highest level since July, with California, Oregon, and Kentucky leading the increase, while unadjusted continuing claims saw their largest increase in four months.
- In addition, the youth unemployment rate for 16- to 19-year-olds has increased from 9.2% in April to 13.2% in October, which may indicate broader labor market weakness in the coming months.
- Source: Helios Quantitative Research, Bloomberg, Department of Labor
The Most Important Thing Today (4/26/23)
Let's talk about yields! Bond Yields Relatively Attractive, but Does it Matter?